All Fermi answers
Fermi #35 · Question 2

How many ships pass through the Panama Canal on an average day?

Explore the official answer and the simple reasoning behind this Fermi estimate.

2QUESTION 2 OF 3

Answer & explanation

The official answer, with Fermi’s reasoning step by step.

Answer & explanation

Official answer

37

ships

How to estimate it

Fermi’s official “Napkin math”

The canal runs three lock lanes, the two original ones and the big new lane. Each lane has to alternate direction through the day, so how many ships can one push through? Maybe a dozen.

Lock lanes
3
Ships per lane per day
× 12
3 × 12
≈ 36

Rounded assumptions may give a slightly different estimate. The official answer above is the game’s reference value.

Source calculation & reference
Total transits, fiscal year 2025 (deep-draft and small commercial vessels)
= 13,404
Days in a year
÷ 365
13,404 ÷ 365
≈ 37 per day

Reference cited by Fermi: Panama Canal Authority fiscal year 2025 traffic figures

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