All Fermi answers
Fermi #77 · Question 2

The oldest known living tree is a bristlecone pine in California's White Mountains, dated by counting its growth rings. How many years old is it?

Explore the official answer and the simple reasoning behind this Fermi estimate.

2QUESTION 2 OF 3

Answer & explanation

The official answer, with Fermi’s reasoning step by step.

Answer & explanation

Official answer

4,858

years

How to estimate it

Fermi’s official “Napkin math”

Start with giant redwoods. Tour guides love saying they were already standing when Jesus was born, so about 2,000 years. How much older is the champion? It's a tougher tree in a harsher spot. Maybe twice as old.

Old giant redwoods
~2,000 yrs
Champion, maybe twice that
× 2
2,000 × 2
≈ 4,000 yrs

Rounded assumptions may give a slightly different estimate. The official answer above is the game’s reference value.

Source calculation & reference
Methuselah's age when Edmund Schulman cored it in 1957
4,789 rings
Years since the 1957 core
+ 69
4,789 + 69 (sprouted about 2833 BC)
≈ 4,858 years

Reference cited by Fermi: Guinness World Records, oldest living individual tree: Methuselah, a Great Basin bristlecone pine (4,856 years as of 2024); Rocky Mountain Tree-Ring Research OLDLIST (Methuselah, crossdated, about 4,850 years)

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