2QUESTION 2 OF 3
Answer & explanation
The official answer, with Fermi’s reasoning step by step.
Answer & explanation
Official answer
1,200,000
watches
How to estimate it
Fermi’s official “Napkin math”
Rolex only sells through authorized dealers, and there are maybe 1,500 of them worldwide. How many watches does one shop move in a day? They are famously hard to get, so only a couple.
- Rolex dealers worldwide
- ≈ 1,500
- Watches sold per shop a day
- ≈ 2
- Days open a year
- × 350
- 1,500 × 700
- ≈ 1,050,000 watches
Rounded assumptions may give a slightly different estimate. The official answer above is the game’s reference value.
Source calculation & reference
- Estimated 2024 production (LuxeConsult / industry analysts)
- ~1.2 million watches
- Estimated total wholesale value
- ~$10 billion+
- ≈ result
- 1,200,000
Reference cited by Fermi: Industry production estimates from watch-market analysts (e.g. LuxeConsult), since Rolex is privately held and does not publish official figures
How close was your guess?
Your comparison will appear here.
Compare by ratio: divide the larger number by the smaller one. The closer to 1×, the better.