All Fermi answers
Fermi #98 · Question 1

How many people live closer to the North Pole than to the equator?

Explore the official answer and the simple reasoning behind this Fermi estimate.

1QUESTION 1 OF 3

Answer & explanation

The official answer, with Fermi’s reasoning step by step.

Answer & explanation

Official answer

670,000,000

people

How to estimate it

Fermi’s official “Napkin math”

Halfway to the pole is the 45th parallel, which runs through northern Italy and Minneapolis. That puts most of Europe and nearly all of Russia above it. How much of their 750 million? Maybe 3 in 4, plus a bit of Canada and northern China.

Europe and Russia
~750,000,000
North of the line
× 3/4
Canada, northern US, northern China
+ 60,000,000
560M + 60M
≈ 620,000,000

Rounded assumptions may give a slightly different estimate. The official answer above is the game’s reference value.

Source calculation & reference
People north of 45°N in 2025, GHSL population grid (EU JRC)
≈ 676,000,000
Earth is slightly flattened, so halfway is 45.1°N
- 9,000,000
676M - 9M
≈ 670,000,000

Reference cited by Fermi: EU JRC GHSL 2025 population grid: about 670 million people live north of 45°N, 8% of the world

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